Tuesday, February 19, 2008
On ocassion I play with ideas; rarer yet, an idea related to poker; and even more rare than all of that, an idea with numbers related to poker.
Guess what! I got tired of Full Tilts behaviour yesterday. So I trotted off to the never-never land of my mind and cranked up the computer, fed it some information, punched Run and went to lunch.
I told the program I was using that I wanted ten (10) players, the game was Omaha H/L, the hand examined would be AA2K (which was immatrerial really) and that I wanted the hand examined 999,999 times. (A million being beyond the kin of the program)
On returning from lunch, the program told me:
Winning Low Hands:
Nut Low 20.9% 209463 times
quartered: 5.6% 56444 times
2nd Nut Low 8.5 % 85123 times
quartered: 1.9% 16813 times
3rd Nut Low 4.1% 40880 times
quartered: 0.4% 4228 times
Other Lows 9.0% 90233 times
quartered: 0.9% 9032 times
No Low: 48.8% 487433 times
In case you are wondering, the number of Hi and Low cards on the board on the flop are not listed herein because I was interested in starting hands. To represent much beyond this is to speculate on generalized judgments of the type of player in the game and speculative numbers of these represented player in the hand at each of the stages, ie: Flop, Turn and River.
I used Average Players, nine of them; with one Loosey Goosey. The need-to-know came from the hands I was seeing on Full Tilt Poker ring, cash games, not the tournaments.
Concerning the High Winning Hands (which, admittedly, I was less concerned with):
AA won 36%
AKo won 24.6%
AKs won 26.6%
KK won 17.2%
A2o won 33%
A2s won 31.7%
22 pair won 7.3%
I’m assuming these High Hand numbers are coming from running them as starting hands against the field in a fully dealt spread.
Though I wasn’t fully concerned with them, I did note that my program indicated a Rivered 2.3 players to a hand, average.
Which seems narrowing the field is good play – heh.
From the reaches,